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Our economists are experts at applying advanced economic tools to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues.
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- Jan 15 2021
Recovery tracker dips at end of 2020, but is improving
Our recovery tracker indicator improved steadily through November and early-December, almost reaching its pre-crisis level. However, the imposition of interstate border controls over the holiday seaso...
- Jan 12 2021
Domestic travel restrictions will be a headwind in Q1 and bring increased uncertainty. GDP growth fell by 2.8% in 2020, to be followed by a 3.1% increase in 2021
Recent data confirm the economic recovery continues to run a little ahead of expectations, with retail sales, trade flows and the labour market all performing well. However, the emergence of new, more...
- Dec 24 2020
India: Building and Construction in India 2020-2024: December 2020 Update
Total construction work done in 2020 in nominal prices is expected to decline 16.2%, dragged down by residential (-25.6%), non-residential (-19.9%) and civil engineering (-2.7%) sectors. Covid-19 and...
- Dec 24 2020
Mining in Australia - Dec 2020
The mining investment cycle is continuing to show signs of a rebound, despite the headwinds caused by the coronavirus pandemic and the trade dispute with China. The after-effects of the Oil and Gas b...
- Dec 23 2020
Sydney Commercial Property Prospects 2020-2030
Strong supply and weak, pandemic affected demand, have combined to send the Sydney CBD office market into a downturn. Net absorption is negative, and likely to remain so near term, pushing up the vac...
- Dec 23 2020
Sydney Suburban Centres and Office Parks 2020 - 2030
Sydney's suburban office markets are part way through a marked downturn caused by a combination of strong supply and weak demand. Vacancy rates have risen to a non-CBD average of over 9%, on track fo...
- Dec 23 2020
Philippines: Building and Construction in the Philippines 2020-2024: December 2020 Update
Total construction work done is now anticipated to decline 25.3% (down from a previous -14.0%) in 2020 as both weak domestic and global demand see total building (-18.5%) work done remain lackluster....
- Dec 23 2020
China: Building and Construction in China 2020-2024: December 2020 Update
As business and domestic demand continues to recover on improved confidence amid the entrenched GDP rebound from the coronavirus hit and emerging signs of a recovery in employment, we forecast both re...
- Dec 22 2020
Brisbane Commercial Property Prospects 2020-2030
The Brisbane office market correction is mild by comparison with the experience of Sydney or Melbourne. Even so, the CBD and Fringe vacancy rates have ticked up and we expect them to rise further to...
Latest Global Analysis
- Jan 13 2021
Convergence will continue to bolster APAC currencies
We expect most Asian currencies to gain against the US$ in 2021 and be supported by solid current account prospects in coming years. Longer-term, we expect continued catch-up-driven real exchange rate...
- Jan 12 2021
Why still-cautious consumers could spend big in 2021
Sharply rising household savings, booming house prices, strong financial markets, and unprecedented fiscal support have all contributed to unusually strong household balance sheets at the start of 202...
- Jan 11 2021
For world trade, a strong but incomplete rebound in 2021
World goods trade recovered strongly in the second half of 2020 and by mid-2021 should be expanding at a double-digit annual pace. But the rebound is uneven, and this, plus coronavirus-related uncerta...
- Jan 11 2021
Coronavirus Watch: Optimism surge proves short lived
The sense of optimism at the prospect of widespread vaccinations in 2021 has been deflated by the discovery of more transmissible forms of coronavirus in the UK and South Africa, as well as the stutte...
- Jan 07 2021
Global: New virus variants, new economic risks
News on vaccine progress has offered some light at the end of the Covid tunnel, but the discovery that more transmissible variants have spread outside the UK and South Africa means the downside risks...
- Jan 04 2021
Coronavirus Watch: Inflation – this time isn’t different
The prospect of large shares of some economies’ populations being vaccinated in the first half of 2021, supporting a return to some degree of normality, has stoked renewed concerns that inflation coul...
- Dec 15 2020
Surging public debt and inflation – lessons from history
Soaring public debt in many economies has sparked fears that inflation could rise sharply. But our historical analysis suggests government debt surges have a wide range of inflation outcomes, with hig...
- Dec 14 2020
Coronavirus Watch: Three key vaccine uncertainties
Over the past month, we have revised up our global GDP growth forecast for 2021 to 5.2% from 4.9%. We also see a more favourable balance of risks around our forecast. But considering the significant i...
- Dec 11 2020
Global Risk Survey: Optimism rises, but caution persists
Almost three-quarters of businesses have become more positive over the past month, based on our December flash survey of global risk perceptions. This improvement in sentiment is the greatest seen so...
- Dec 10 2020
Vaccine optimism reduces EM risks
The positive developments on Covid-19 vaccines are broadly in line with our baseline forecast for emerging markets – we expect a noticeable impact from mass vaccination programs from around mid-2021....
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As our cities grow and adapt to economic developments, insights at the city and sub-city level are more important than ever. Understanding divergent trends across states and within cities is crucial for enabling our clients to make better strategic decisions, identify new opportunities, and manage key risks.
Construction in Australia & New Zealand
Market-leading insights and detailed analysis of the construction industry into Australia and New Zealand, providing forecast and identifying market opportunities and risks.
Property classes in Australia
With 30 years’ experience in forecasting Australia’s property markets, BIS Oxford Economics’ analysis offers deep insights into future market prospects and realistic forecasts that can be relied upon to guide clients in strategic property decisions.
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As part of the Oxford Economics Group we are the largest independent economics research house worldwide. Our team are experts at applying advanced economic and research techniques to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues. Thanks to our multi-disciplinary team and our wide access to sector experts, executives and policy-makers we can dig deep into the business, economic, industry, financial, regulatory, technology, and social issues that organisations have to face.
In the media
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